Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.740518 0.874072 1.018812 1.186611 1.375041 1.579367 1.816923
2025-03-23 0.535330 0.721671 0.943849 1.224601 1.566015 1.963804 2.458131
2025-03-30 0.399356 0.610567 0.885482 1.260066 1.746956 2.347928 3.134287
2025-04-06 0.287843 0.499359 0.799237 1.237536 1.842233 2.626798 3.698868
2025-04-13 0.221573 0.432407 0.755334 1.256946 1.984419 2.967381 4.357603
2025-04-20 0.170637 0.374367 0.710619 1.263369 2.101943 3.276244 4.987162
2025-04-27 0.133079 0.327789 0.673053 1.271209 2.216259 3.582000 5.623702
2025-05-04 0.102506 0.284628 0.631728 1.264530 2.303471 3.849406 6.215434
2025-05-11 0.076390 0.241630 0.581425 1.233919 2.346803 4.050515 6.717446
2025-05-18 0.060231 0.215050 0.555963 1.240894 2.447595 4.339354 7.356213
2025-05-25 0.044544 0.183221 0.513130 1.209568 2.479811 4.521569 7.841124
2025-06-01 0.035293 0.164863 0.494501 1.219938 2.581368 4.814475 8.501769
2025-06-08 0.026432 0.143767 0.466300 1.209935 2.649837 5.063906 9.116508
2025-06-15 0.022468 0.137325 0.471653 1.268752 2.846641 5.532727 10.093836
2025-06-22 0.018588 0.129088 0.470861 1.314467 3.022425 5.975011 11.046355
2025-06-29 0.013411 0.111677 0.441864 1.295257 3.074437 6.211658 11.679403
2025-07-06 0.010478 0.102158 0.432132 1.317195 3.205696 6.587609 12.548890
2025-07-13 0.007872 0.091779 0.417137 1.324670 3.308308 6.917486 13.353152
2025-07-20 0.005874 0.082661 0.403481 1.333167 3.412669 7.253701 14.177532
2025-07-27 0.004158 0.072898 0.384775 1.326399 3.484605 7.534299 14.916956
2025-08-03 0.002675 0.061880 0.357923 1.294701 3.501423 7.715180 15.492804
2025-08-10 0.001892 0.055678 0.346641 1.301972 3.600547 8.048754 16.336778
2025-08-17 0.001132 0.046982 0.322155 1.269469 3.610413 8.216777 16.900162